TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26
+ Q' `' Y- Y' R# l; d' I+ vhttps://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ...
6 |1 b8 E& U! r) v& W# t16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
" Z# J$ ^+ E5 X8 c! b7 vsonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-
1 G, W# I S$ I1 l1 `siles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-
9 Y6 A7 H' ~, M# J! msonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%, \' h4 Z9 S# q3 r$ L8 z
interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
' ?( ?0 K: L8 B0 jinterceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to
. U9 c9 c8 W+ \* Q& X8 Ashoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,
9 W. U. v1 [8 d& U8 q! {7 r7 C$ U$ e3 tand Germany has 72 launchers in total.5 B4 Z1 c9 i: X0 [! _
! C9 Q9 A8 A d- A) v1 I) `看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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