TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26
3 Q& s' D: `, \ I) r3 Bhttps://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ... . A: _7 Z7 _2 l6 T# o7 i, T$ A
16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-9 `; U% q. U, t' _
sonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-) d! v/ G# n1 {0 z
siles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-
( i2 i& o+ _2 P$ isonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%
. `% z+ z& V0 Einterception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
$ ?4 U7 U* h. M5 I% Ginterceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to
4 ^+ s/ O5 Q- B2 Z u' x: gshoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,: Q4 w) \! j! H* m! [, Y' m
and Germany has 72 launchers in total.
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看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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