TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:261 P- U' T/ B" e7 F0 b- p
https://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ...
7 A# `+ s, N8 A5 t16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
% G' B& `+ z \sonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-$ y2 k" }; n4 a7 w$ S. c( f
siles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-0 I( S7 T0 F9 O$ H9 p, m. @
sonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%
! B$ a, U5 A" {, [7 minterception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
. X9 h, ^2 E- i+ o+ [ n, yinterceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to
9 @# j" z( [. u6 n# _: qshoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,: `' {$ D+ S d, e+ w3 ]9 W& A: b1 \
and Germany has 72 launchers in total.9 |$ h( c4 u# l
7 g- o, |! O+ \' J看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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