TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26
. P b- ^3 J0 P6 T: {3 {; ghttps://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ... . o1 t: A. g* W" J
16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
" n6 ~! _2 I: S qsonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-
% P$ [: @& i3 M5 ~% [$ ?/ K2 Nsiles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-
; }8 [; j* W* w, {/ D4 A% z6 o8 Nsonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%4 Q% [+ E7 W e
interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such/ @6 Z& g' \) _* J5 E
interceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to9 E4 q, n% H3 [/ |0 m* F" z7 @
shoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,
( _3 q, Y6 z* p" d( U/ Yand Germany has 72 launchers in total.) j" e5 {6 x* M. \- v7 A1 Q
* H+ H# R2 O& m* S: ^4 V9 u" r看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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