TA的每日心情 | 擦汗
2019-6-16 23:34 |
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签到天数: 1277 天 [LV.10]大乘
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) |0 g, b5 m- ?军事方面早就开始了。现在随着电子产品功能发展，CPU 的强大，基本要进入井喷阶段了。! m2 I0 e* G' c3 m" C& T6 F( k
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from wiki, official forecast
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By 2015, Tesla says its cars will "probably" be capable of autopilot for 90 percent of miles driven, and definitely so for highway miles.[110] This feature combines automatic lane change, adaptive cruise control, and sign recognition to regulate speed and location.[111]
0 `$ O0 Q" V& [# oBy 2015, California will allow the testing of vehicles without wheels or pedals such as Google's on public roads. This will follow a 120-day grace period after a rule to be introduced in late 2014.[112]
) ]/ Q% S- w9 ?6 a1 E6 yBy the mid-2010s, Toyota plans to roll out near-autonomous vehicles dubbed Automated Highway Driving Assist with Lane Trace Control and Cooperative-adaptive Cruise Control.[113]
$ c( |$ X1 @" t! f, h" v2 q) ?By 2016, Audi plans to market vehicles that can autonomously steer, accelerate and brake at lower speeds, such as in traffic jams.[114]
7 V5 |5 I. i4 h- q2 `/ cBy 2016, Mercedes plans to introduce "Autobahn Pilot" aka Highway Pilot, the system allow hands-free highway driving with autonomous overtaking of other vehicles.[115]
4 k0 H, F. E4 uBy 2016, Mobileye expects to release hands-free driving technology for highways.[116]
4 { p$ J: c) s% _! v, EIn 2016 (2017 model year), GM plans to offer a "super cruise" feature on select Cadillac models, with autonomous lane keeping, speed control, and brake control, so that parts of trips can be made without touching the wheel or pedals.[117]
1 Z0 k ^0 D, r% q5 p+ N7 [By early 2017, the US Department of Transportation hopes to publish a rule mandating vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication by an as-yet unspecified deadline.[118] GM says that by the 2017 model year, the Cadillac CTS will be V2V equipped.[119]( g E; A- x$ }7 j
Between 2017 to 2020, Google believes its Level 4 self-driving cars will be available to the public.[120]
- p: o4 }0 ~8 Z mBy 2018, Mobileye expects autonomous capabilities for country roads and city traffic.[121]% O& [% d# ^7 M- ~( {" ]
By 2018, Nissan anticipates to have a feature that can allow the vehicle manoeuver its way on multi-lane highways.[122]
, L4 V) J9 K, X0 i; r, i) PBy 2019 or 2020, Tesla expects that "true autonomous driving" where passengers can "get in the car, go to sleep and wake up at your destination" will be achieved.[123]
# F* h2 h# U" }. }* l1 W9 V, I3 SBy 2020, Volvo envisages having cars in which passengers would be immune from injuries.[108] Volvo also claim vehicles will effectively be "crash free." [124]
- t2 j8 {9 _; G2 j) [By 2020, GM, Mercedes-Benz, Audi, Nissan, BMW and Renault all expect to sell vehicles that can drive themselves at least part of the time.[53][125][126][127][128]. b8 u5 _* i- f5 `9 u0 e
By 2024, Jaguar expects to release an autonomous car.[129]# m2 ~& p6 j1 l/ z3 k1 H
By 2025, Daimler and Ford expect autonomous vehicles on the market.[130][131]
9 U: I: [% m% S7 GBy 2025, most new GM vehicles will have automated driving functions as well as vehicle-to-vehicle communication technology.[132]0 L* \/ @' g( a- u$ \! n6 z# }8 O
By 2035, IHS Automotive report says will be the year most self-driving vehicles will be operated completely independent from a human occupant’s control.! L& {3 [! W. H8 ~9 n
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& _2 {4 j" {7 l, e( H/ h另外，based on wiki: In the United States, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has established an official classification system:[28]
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Level 0: The driver completely controls the vehicle at all times.9 `* z. e, [9 ]2 t7 V, E& t
Level 1: Individual vehicle controls are automated, such as electronic stability control or automatic braking.
, O$ ^7 X. x& y: j6 sLevel 2: At least two controls can be automated in unison, such as adaptive cruise control in combination with lane keeping.5 s* j+ Z k; o8 Y! R
Level 3: The driver can fully cede control of all safety-critical functions in certain conditions. The car senses when conditions require the driver to retake control and provides a "sufficiently comfortable transition time" for the driver to do so.
/ M _- p' T4 x0 k! n* CLevel 4: The vehicle performs all safety-critical functions for the entire trip, with the driver not expected to control the vehicle at any time. As this vehicle would control all functions from start to stop, including all parking functions, it could include unoccupied cars.8 x3 E- e- Z% H3 {% I2 |+ B I; v
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现在处于接近于完成 level 3 的水平，当然恶劣天气情况的解决方案依然不好。& t% \2 z8 m! H( _% \3 J& p5 f$ P
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最后，在我看来，法律不法律的不是大问题。真正的阻碍原因估计是价格。目前价格显然不行。但即使只加个三五千刀的，销量也会有大影响。 |
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雷达卡
发表于 2014-12-15 01:03:03
显身卡
发表于 2014-12-15 04:05:09
楼主
