獲利

indy

出於倦怠，不想多寫與疫情相關的內容..

斯蒂芬•科恩(Stephen F. Cohen)是紐約大學(NYU)和普林斯頓(Princeton)大學俄羅斯政治研究的名譽教授。

柯恩在最新的一本著作 War with Russia: From Putin & Ukraine to Trump & Russiagate 中，描述了美國國內政治勢力的分歧如何塑造出新冷戰的氛圍，而另全世界進入冷戰的對抗中，究竟是那些人可以從中獲得利益?

雖然柯恩教授在這段訪談中，是以俄羅斯作為切入觀察的起點，但是影響美國敵視的因素，如果將對象置換成中國，也完全適用...

聽柯恩教授娓娓的說明美國的政客們以及軍工複合體，為了自己的利益，寧可放棄現實而集體鼓吹一種對美國不存在的威脅，這是一種荒謬，也是一種悲哀。

但不幸的是..因為這些人的利益，這種加工製作的醜化與敵意，卻是全人類共同的未來。

如果以歷史為師，參考蘇聯瓦解時的經驗。假使中國有一天會步上類似蘇聯瓦解的情境時，以西方對於中國的態度，最後的結果不會比當時的蘇聯好，甚至可能步上萬劫不復的命運。

indy

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-wc94DRFCik

indy

“Even when Mr Gorbachev accepted the fall of the Berlin Wall, the unification of Germany and ultimately its membership of NATO, Mr Bush would play to Mr Gorbachev’s weakness for wanting to be lionised, but felt no obligation to help Russia financially or accommodate him politically. “To hell with that! We prevailed. They didn’t. We can’t let the Soviets clutch victory from the jaws of defeat,” he said to Helmut Kohl, Germany’s chancellor. This triumphalism was misplaced and would later backfire on America.

Mr Taubman argues that those in power in the West lacked the vision and will to extend a Marshall-type plan to Mr Gorbachev’s Soviet Union (and later to Yeltsin’s Russia). Those who had it were no longer in power. In 1991 Mrs Thatcher appealed to Mr Bush: “We’ve got to help Mikhail…Just a few years back, Ron and I would have given the world to get what has already happened here.” If the West did not come to Mr Gorbachev’s aid, she argued, “history will not forgive us.””
(Gorbachev: His Life and Times. By William Taubman. W.W. Norton)

1991年蘇聯解體，西方國家領袖久缺視野和智慧，沒有向蘇聯伸出援手，反而幸災樂禍，錯失了建構更安全世界的大好機會。假若當時美英仍然由列根和戴卓爾夫人執政，而不是布殊和馬卓安的話，後冷戰時代的世界秩序將完全改寫。