+ U; o/ M( d& M- y, N2014年4月我国经济景气动向指数走势 # }8 m* n" @6 Y* O2 y( ^% Z s # r0 V7 A4 W" n3 G7 K 中国经济景气监测中心和高盛(亚洲)联合开发的监测预警系统的监测结果表明,2014年4月我国先行指数继续回升:先行指数比上月上升0.4点;一致指数有所回升:一致指数比上月上升0.1点;滞后指数有所回升:滞后指数比上月上升0.3点;预警指数与上月持平,目前为81.3点。, z& b7 ?9 T. H0 D. t
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◆4月份先行指数经最新数据修订,继续回升。 / h3 f# g/ ]: H. d- V3 [" T ◆4月份一致指数经最新数据修订,有所回升。5 M# s5 @/ B& U
◆4月份滞后指数经最新数据修订,有所回升。 ( d5 w7 K8 D. a- o" x3 t+ | ◆4月份预警指数经最新数据修订,与上月持平。! E! J- h, Q- s
# ?$ l0 B5 e. E 先行指数:4月份,在先行指数的8组构成指标(经季节调整去除季节因素的影响)中,3组指标呈上升趋势(按贡献率大小排列)——利率差、货币供应M2和物流指数*(其中:社会货运量指标上升,港口货物吞吐量指标下降);5组指标呈下降趋势——消费者预期指数、恒生中国内地流通指数、工业产品产销率、投资新开工项目和房地产开发领先指数*(其中:房地产土地购置面积指标下降,商品房新开工面积指标上升)。 % }7 d4 H. r5 R' Z: S# E% s- H7 l+ G 先行指数现在为100.1(1996年=100)。3月份上升0.4,2月份上升0.1点。. M( i" e! n: q' |' I- X+ _
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( R/ a8 `. w8 y! a! T. g& a& Z) Y8 S 一致指数:4月份,在一致指数的4组构成指标(经季节调整去除季节因素的影响)中,2组指标呈上升趋势(按贡献率大小排列)——社会收入指数*(其中:工业企业利润指数下降,居民可支配收入指标和税收指标上升)和社会需求指数*(其中:外贸进出口指标上升,投资指标、社会消费品零售指标下降);2组指标呈下降趋势——工业生产指数和工业从业人员数。 : i% o' f' h4 v 一致指数现在为97.4(1996年=100)。3月份下降0.3,2月份下降0.3。 ' ?* y- @7 I- U* k \& Q& o b. b
滞后指数:4月份,在滞后指数的5个构成指标(经季节调整去除季节因素的影响)中,1组指标呈上升趋势(按贡献率大小排列)——企业存货;4组指标呈下降趋势——短期贷款、财政支出、居民消费价格指数和居民储蓄指标。 ; `* j% `2 g' i- ` 滞后指数现在为95.8(1996年=100)。3月份下降0.4,2月份上升0.3。1 D/ l( M4 \3 T5 o
1 r8 |8 k9 p1 b+ p2 G上海会成为中国大陆最自由最有活力的经济中心和国际贸易与金融中心,以致于东京,香港和新加坡都会黯然无光。按照地理优势,只需要纽约,伦敦和上海三个国际金融中心就可以了,正好对应美中英包夹世界。5 x& W7 K4 F7 d' J. X
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上海自贸区建设,以及上海加大力度营造学术地位都是如此。就以中国前三十的经济系而言,前五名还在北京,但是上海地区的学术咄咄逼人,很可能在10年内赶超北京。 ; m: L) k( L! D: S) D9 aTop 25% institutions in China+ J8 i& e2 a% K6 |3 [9 ^- E
9 a" R. b' O' e H% g4 _; NRank W.Rank Institution Score Authors Author shares" t0 ?% G+ v* I( d
1 [1] Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE) 4 ^. ~8 l& s: N* s; k; D0 KBeijing, China + T5 g- N/ b0 j5 m9 D9 @5 n- K. v1.02 57 52.89 7 l, Q G3 e7 @4 N* }( v--- [---] China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE)% A, }! H G: g, v. i
Beijing, China 3 I2 Y( j- X( h$ f9 Z: b2.07 31 26.39' \' a3 a6 E4 B. t3 F4 O7 ^
2 [2] School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University 3 R- J; d) Y2 n" lBeijing, China1 ?+ d' Y4 A1 y$ k# h5 ]2 a; R
3.06 21 19.41- P i6 @) {$ K; e2 H
3 [3] Guanghua School of Management, Peking University . u% Y! Z. C# t; \) E4 @) O* kBeijing, China 1 J% T- x" `2 `+ n' L8 Q% d/ A5 G2 A3.95 30 27.61: p. a! h9 U, l2 _5 f; v
4 [4] China Center for Economic Research (CCER), Peking University' W/ W4 i. u G. u0 j
Beijing, China $ p. G- M* E* J, c9 ^5 Q9 |6 C5.09 21 16.57! Q: N- |5 \. i1 H( F/ V# n
5 [5] Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy (CCAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences+ F' K$ h" |7 ?, ?3 {! P1 _
Beijing, China. L4 s5 V+ s3 j/ H k
7.37 9 9 4 q" L# R3 V3 |4 @6 [6] School of Economics, Fudan University / c/ `! S j$ e5 o- ~8 rShanghai, China- C; u+ w( O, W8 L' Z6 x* q
8.76 12 11.34 7 w# t6 U( B8 x7 k# ^( l7 [7] School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University; p$ d2 x+ @3 P5 \) R
Hubei, China " n9 ?8 z) k" d9 `1 }9.82 10 8.74 7 U' w7 P% Y8 n1 N( e8 [8] PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University& |* ~- t0 X6 o8 ?
Beijing, China ! D3 J" Z H/ @& u10.64 1 1 % ^3 E* M' {- ]9 r- R9 [9] Shanghai University of Finance and Economics3 ^* L+ u4 W: \1 y/ ?
Shanghai, China ], y" v2 m/ I- L$ v* ?
10.7 28 27.23 ' p1 a" a/ s( [) p) X5 l10 [10] Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University8 s4 z" f+ M, q2 L
Shanghai, China" @1 _! @- ?1 a
11.51 8 7.715 @* M2 d4 l7 G5 F/ |0 F N
11 [11] College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University# ^! e* g6 d0 M1 e( R
Beijing, China) W f5 \8 s6 W% f9 c7 h" @
11.8 10 7.27 ' F. [: K* R) s7 K6 j0 [& w12 [13] Southwestern University of Finance and Economics / U) g6 R9 q9 G2 O( b2 R( `, F8 tChengdu, China ~5 p6 G3 C$ J7 @% b2 U" R6 }
12.57 41 39.13 " ?- @5 @8 ~" a' T& J) N13 [12] Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business1 R. {( |3 @* r5 K+ @
Beijing, China H* P4 K0 A% r" u! S8 i: E
12.6 2 2 4 e7 b. s" }/ R& k--- [---] Research Institute of Economics and Management, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics % C8 u! F, _8 u) d8 j0 g# K( }* I% |7 e6 o2 vChengdu, China3 G q6 A. Q9 K5 i# u* ]
14.17 37 35.134 g. S" ]" n4 W$ ?; E" f* {
14 [15] China Europe International Business School * N- U" c5 \9 g, e# J' mShanghai, China$ z7 ?$ Q0 Y6 k- K4 f
14.35 3 3* U- j1 O! x7 C, `
15 [14] School of Finance, Renmin University of China # _3 @2 I. h. y' [2 jBeijing, China 0 ^) a% _. ~2 E' i2 Q" A2 {' ?14.42 12 9.41. e/ \. E# p6 Z1 Z! }/ q* j
16 [16] School of Economics and Business Administration, Beijing Normal University% x/ ?7 i* U, c/ Y* `0 f3 h3 {& N. |
Beijing, China( q6 l9 [3 z B2 ~# S6 h4 i# q
14.92 11 10.64 ! t: T6 w# r3 ^17 [17] Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology4 }* W% `) o; ~
Beijing, China/ v4 b! N. x$ b2 l
15.85 15 12- ?9 ]+ E% T1 `: P8 C1 N o
18 [18] Department of Business, Economics and Management, Xi'an Jiaotong Liverpool University ' {- g6 ~* x( M2 z/ {Suzhou, China; g+ ?) v0 Y2 n! I1 G
19.85 4 2.6 G6 [0 h! ^; w, b6 N3 m2 X/ e7 U1 N19 [19] Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University , l% s. p9 _5 G/ Z% EFujian, China' S) O0 C3 M" R8 I9 P7 F, J7 m B
20.71 8 7 8 ?0 S1 m6 t& ^ r8 s1 [--- [---] School of Economics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics 8 i, ]; G: ]1 q- M4 y0 XShanghai, China + I7 Z# Y1 }3 r2 X# d0 g21.29 10 9.33 + Y; Q' L6 P' j8 ^--- [---] Department of Applied Economics, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University; p) v+ @3 L1 }9 g( v9 G7 }
Beijing, China 7 R- y! w" |4 u, K7 j) i21.64 4 3.1% P5 b+ \2 G$ D7 F. q2 b
20 [20] College of Economics, Xiamen University , w6 R i4 l' k& \) V& h( Y/ HFujian, China - `$ f% C! M6 e9 z22.25 7 6.659 p# v5 F) D0 w, w3 K
21 [22] College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeroneautics and Astronautics # R! o& v/ V0 V$ ~0 @6 T0 I& yNanjing, China4 C9 M: l9 s2 |9 h
23.09 1 1 + e$ @7 |! C3 v6 z: e1 t+ Z5 h22 [21] School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Renmin University of China : H4 q2 `% }! g! W1 RBeijing, China* }; d- R) `+ \9 B$ B% b8 \7 U
24.58 3 2.04: F$ W+ g. u7 l* n3 f4 ^
--- [---] Department of Public Economics, College of Economics, Xiamen University - j8 _6 c7 J' o$ PFujian, China 6 v1 b! j. c* A* x4 R. f26.81 2 2 Y* l9 B6 ^, {
23 [23] School of Labor and Human Resources, Renmin University of China ' Y b6 U# h1 }& A* zBeijing, China % {1 L- H" O, B5 e+ a' b y2 T27.69 2 1.01 . g9 i1 t. i% K( g24 [24] University of International Business and Economics (UIBE)0 b1 {0 z! r0 L9 _2 l* J
Beijing, China 5 O5 @, X& J7 E1 v5 `3 s9 C28.36 14 12.01 & L( ~# l9 T) ]" g; b9 J# M) ]7 Y25 [25] School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (Beihang University) . |/ V4 m. F' \0 A1 H3 D- fBeijing, China9 ^& N$ `2 Y, h3 V6 M I
28.91 3 3 . w/ K. [2 B" c2 \* o--- [---] Department of Finance, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University: i- H4 d7 E; |% g% D
Beijing, China ( [7 h+ ^7 ]8 i; ]9 `# M A U29.65 2 2 7 H8 m" c4 \1 F* H--- [---] School of International Trade and Economics (SITE), University of International Business and Economics (UIBE)- B0 m; }) v# _' B6 W$ |0 K5 r
Beijing, China ' v/ x D5 ]& _" ?- q32.28 9 8.25* H' j$ k, d0 E& ^+ m1 N
26 [29] Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences- n1 r* \: x4 J. X3 [6 j) A. n
Beijing, China & L7 p4 q% R* h: v( d: }7 Y33.7 3 1.86 : c! A: V2 a ^0 {: J/ | r3 ~27 [27] Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences i+ E( K9 k; s; w+ E5 zBeijing, China7 y& n$ W0 y, X
34.06 4 3.86 L$ J' m. I- k4 V; ]0 t
28 [26] National Institute for Fiscal Studies (NIFS), Tsinghua University* W; ]1 P2 a7 n2 y
Beijing, China 7 b* i* t- u& i34.17 2 1.45 # E1 K' O: ~1 ~& I( V1 j9 @29 [28] Hanqing Advanced Institute of Economics and Finance, Renmin University of China% O1 [% V" B$ _4 c: L
Beijing, China. E( S, M. d- q+ Q# S$ b8 Y7 x9 a
34.64 7 5.84 5 O( B8 D9 m! C+ Q2 e% N30 [30] School of Economics, Peking University % U7 l& y. o+ k9 ]% ~/ n& t' ^$ iBeijing, China ; R1 ~& m6 |) G2 W; K' L% K+ m35.44 2 r+ L ~9 v* |